Planning and Management of Social Systems

Numbering Code U-ENG23 33521 LE73
U-ENG23 33521 LE55
U-ENG23 33521 LE24
Year/Term 2022 ・ First semester
Number of Credits 2 Course Type Lecture
Target Year Target Student
Language English Day/Period Thu.2
Instructor name Cruz Ana Maria (Disaster Prevention Research Institute Professor)
QURESHI,Ali Gul (Graduate School of Engineering Associate Professor)
SCHMOECKER,Jan-Dirk (Graduate School of Engineering Associate Professor)
Outline and Purpose of the Course This lecture series explains why and how society can be regarded as a system and described with mathematical tools. Predicting changes in a society and influencing society in a desired direction are closely related to infrastructure planning and management. Basic concepts and frameworks of typical models that are indispensable for the analysis of (social) system states and trends are introduced. Moreover the lectures cover theories in social psychology and discuss how cultural differences impact infrastructure planning.
Course Goals To provide students with a complex system perspective of society and to clarify the role of infrastructure planning and management. Further, to provide understanding of some mathematical and psychological typical models for system analysis.
Schedule and Contents Introduction,1time,Problems of infrastructure planning and management, and its methodology. Abstract of systems analysis and "physics of society".
Markov models,2times,Markov process. Transition probability matrix. Steady state.
Time-series predicting model,2times,Serial correlation. Auto-Regressive model. AutoRegressive-Moving Average model.
Queuing theory,2times,single and multiple queues, examples of various M/D/k queues
Game theory and general social dilemma situations,3times,Strategic interdependency. Nash equilibrium. Typical models. Social dilemma situations and infrastructure planning.
Social psychology and planning,2times,Attitudes, values and their influence on behavior and planning
Hazard Analysis,2times,Examples of major accident analysis; fault trees and event trees.
Comprehension Test,1time,final exam
Evaluation Methods and Policy Joined judgement of report and end of term exam.
Course Requirements None
Textbooks Textbooks/References None
References, etc. Hillier, F.S. and Lieberman, G.J. (2015) Introduction to Operations Research. 10th Edition. McGraw Hill. isbn{}{9781259253188}
Straffin, P.D. (1993). Game Theory and Strategy. The Mathematical Association of America. New Mathematical Library. isbn{}{0883856379}
Further useful textbooks and materials are introduded during the lectures.
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